Production models validated within 1%.
Find the improvements your loss tree never will.

Thirty-five years of production modeling for Fortune 500 manufacturers — Essity, General Mills, Symbotic, Union Pacific. See the proof.

▭ Artificial Intelligence
+
△ Operations Research
=

Explore the efficient frontier for your problem

Precision tools at the intersection of AI and operations research — turning uncertainty into strategy, and complexity into clarity.

~1%
OEE Accuracy
13%
Energy Reduction
22
MCP Tools
35+
Years OR Expertise
AS FEATURED IN USA TODAY Business Insider digitaltrends
The Suite

Tools built for
hard problems

Production Simulation
Validated Production Models

Discrete rate simulation validated within 1% OEE. 22 MCP tools. Find improvements your loss tree will never surface.

Statistical Inference
Distribution Fitting

8 distribution types, Quick Start solver, interrupt designer. Turn historian data into simulation-ready parameters.

Discrete Rate Simulator · Free
Decoupling Buffer Simulator

Web-based discrete rate simulation for decoupling buffer design. Explore production lines with buffers, breakdowns, and speed variance. Open access — no login, free to test and explore.

Process Intelligence
Real-Time Operator Guidance

Dynamic mass-energy balance for thermal processing. Expert coaching to operators in real-time. 13% energy reduction, 0 safety incidents.

Industrial IoT
Adaptive Edge
Edge Data Acquisition

Drop a $500 box on the plant floor, plug in Ethernet to the PLC, power on. Time-series data with dashboards — no cloud, no IT department.

Supply Chain
Greenfield Analysis
Network Design & Optimization

Data-driven supply chain insights in minutes, not months. Optimal facility locations using advanced analytics and GIS — without the consulting price tag.

Our Approach

Built from
first principles

01 —

Rigorous by Design

Every tool is grounded in mathematical foundations — queuing theory, statistical inference, Monte Carlo simulation. No black boxes.

02 —

AI Amplifies OR

AI reads the loss tree and points at the Labeler. Simulation reveals the real story: 120 one-minute micro-stops on the Filler cascading through the line. Fix the right thing, recover 56% more throughput. See how →

03 —

Domain-Deep

Generic tools make generic decisions. ChiAha tools are built for specific domains — healthcare, reliability, thermal processing — with full context.

04 —

Insight That Acts

Every simulation, every model, every output is designed to produce one thing: a decision you can act on with confidence.

In Their Own Words

Named customers.
specific outcomes.

"We leveraged the model to recommend solutions that saved $21.7M in inventory carrying costs and reduced transit time by 19%."
— Mike Keller, Network Analyst & Engineer, Union Pacific Railroad
"Instead of taking a snapshot, this is more like a video. Your ability to actually see the activity in action while the supply chain is running lets you understand impacts much better."
— Mike Geddis, Director of Engineering, General Mills
"The team went above and beyond the project scope, proactively brainstorming ways to make our project better."
— J. Adam Traina, Director of Operations Research, Symbotic
Research & Publications

30 years of
peer-reviewed work

Books

Eight Principles of Effective Problem Solving
Eight Principles of Effective Problem Solving
David Parsons
Educating Problem Solvers
Educating Problem Solvers
David Parsons
AI: Thinking Without Understanding
AI: Thinking Without Understanding
David Parsons
Machine Learning Projects for .NET Developers
ML Projects for .NET Developers
Mathias Brandewinder
Infinity Within His Grasp
Infinity Within His Grasp
David Parsons
Gravity
Gravity: How to Weigh the Sun
David Parsons
COVID-19: Anatomy of a Pandemic
COVID-19: Anatomy of a Pandemic
David Parsons

Peer-Reviewed Papers & Conference Proceedings

2025 How Data-Based Simulations Find the Fastest Wins and Best Options for Optimization 2020 High Accuracy Discrete Rate and Reliability Modeling to Drive Improvement of Plant OEE 2020 Mesoscopic Discrete-Rate-Based Simulation Models for Production and Logistics Planning 2017 Application of Discrete-Rate-Based Simulation Models for Production and Logistics 2017 Comparison of a Microscopic Discrete-Rate and a Mesoscopic Discrete-Rate Simulation Model 2016 Comparison of Discrete Rate Modeling and Discrete Event Simulation 2014 A Global Approach for Discrete Rate Simulation 2013 Simulation of Mixed Discrete and Continuous Systems: an Iron Ore Example 2012 Mesoscopic Supply Chain Simulation 2011 A Mesoscopic Approach to Modeling and Simulation of Logistics Processes 2009 ExtendSim Advanced Technology: Discrete Rate Simulation 2008 Discrete Rate Simulation Using Linear Programming 2002 Non-Item Based Discrete Event Simulation Tools 1999 SDI Industry Pro: Simulation for Enterprise-Wide Problem Solving 1998 SDI Industry: An Extend-Based Tool for Continuous and High-Speed Manufacturing 1997 Simulation of Bulk Flow and High Speed Operations 1996 Simulation for High Speed Processing 1995 Modeling a Bulk Flow Manufacturing System Using Extend
Services

From raw data to prediction

ChiAha provides services supporting teams in adopting a proven, scientific approach for faster, better operational decisions. Using your data, our simulation techniques draw from three decades of manufacturing modeling expertise.

OEE & Throughput Simulation

Capacity modeling, bottleneck identification, and what-if analysis.

TOC, Lean & Systems Thinking

Practical application of constraint theory and lean principles.

Verify & Validate

Leverage production data historians for accurate predictions.

Practical AI

Convert production questions into data-driven decisions.

Feasibility & Sensitivity Analysis

Model-based configuration testing and risk assessment.

Discrete Rate Modeling

Next-generation simulation for intuitive OEE improvement.

About

35 years of building models
that work.

ChiAha was created with consulting partners from Technology Optimization & Management, representing 35 years of intensive model-building for diverse industries.

Founder
Andrew Siprelle

Educator, consultant, simulation tool developer. Founded Simulation Dynamics, Inc. (SDI) in the early 1990s. Coined "Discrete Rate Simulation." ChiAha represents his lifelong goal to distribute DRS benefits more widely.

Product Manager / Designer
Amber Siprelle

Product lead across the ChiAha tool family. Shapes the sales, marketing, and user experience surface for ReliaSim, ReliaStats, DiscreteRate, and the broader ChiAha product suite.

Doctors of Reliability
Tom Lange
36-year retired R&D & Engineering Director, P&G

Modeling & simulation, reliability engineering, high-performance computing.

Bob Matthews
36-year retired Reliability Engineer, P&G

Modeling & simulation, data analysis, control systems, production system modeling.

Peter Au-Yeung
35-year retired Senior Reliability Engineer, P&G

Reliability engineering, data analysis, modeling & simulation.

Jeff Holland
32-year retired Global Baby Care Director of Reliability Engineering, P&G

Reliability management, maintenance engineering.

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for your problem

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